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Coronavirus heat map

Point locked, Stickied, 48 comments, 341 views, posted 4:58 pm 23/01/2020 in Health by REALITY
REALITY has 23591 posts, 9027 threads, 1831 points, location: Don’t believe what I post - Research what I post.
I want to be the reason you get out of bed in the morning...Even if it is to make sure the door is locked.


1:53 pm 30/01/2020


Quote by Flee:
someone being tested for it in my town

no symptoms, but they were in Wuhan recently

There was a story the virus originated in Canada, was stolen, then weaponized in Wuhan. Dunno the truth to that but nearly everyone agrees figures are vastly under-reported by several governments especially China.

2:39 pm 30/01/2020


I heard the queen had it created to kill off Meghan and stop her brainwashing of her husband, but one of the queens guards got it and smuggled it out to China because he is a secret communist and wants to end western civilisation.

See, I can make up shit too

3:21 pm 30/01/2020


Yanqing Ye, 29, a Chinese national, was charged in an indictment with one count each of visa fraud, making false statements, acting as an agent of a foreign government and conspiracy. Ye is currently in China.

Zaosong Zheng, 30, a Chinese national, was arrested on Dec. 10, 2019, at Boston’s Logan International Airport and charged by criminal complaint with attempting to smuggle 21 vials of biological research to China. On Jan. 21, 2020, Zheng was indicted on one count of smuggling goods from the United States and one count of making false, fictitious or fraudulent statements. He has been detained since Dec. 30, 2019.

one made it out, one did not.

3:24 pm 30/01/2020


so the question is... was it released as a test, or was it an accident?

4:40 pm 30/01/2020


...or sabotage.

9:34 am 31/01/2020


First human-to-human transmission confirmed in US
9,821 confirmed cases worldwide, 213 fatalities
South Korea confirms first human-to-human transmission
China reported largest one-day jump in fatalities on Wednesday with
Hong Kong warns of surgical mask shortage
Russia closes border
6,000 quarantined aboard Italian cruise ship
Thailand leads with most cases outside China (14)
Chinese national hospitalized and quarantined in York
Virus arrives in India, Philippines
Air France suspends flights to/from mainland
IMF now monitoring crisis as economic fears grow
State Department authorizes personnel to evacuate China
WHO declares global pandemic
American Airlines pilots union files lawsuit to end travel to China
First 2 cases confirmed in Italy
Germany confirms 5th case
Turkish Airlines suspends China routes
First 2 cases confirmed in the UK

11:54 am 31/01/2020


My Sister in law bought 50 masks

12:21 pm 31/01/2020


Quote by Flee:
My Sister in law bought 50 masks

Talented business woman

12:42 pm 31/01/2020


Quote by Flee:
My Sister in law bought 50 masks

As long as they are not medical masks, they are only designed to stop exhalent.

8:51 am 04/02/2020


1:03 am 11/02/2020


12:33 pm 11/02/2020


and that's the last we'll see of the Chinese Ambassador.

7:04 pm 13/02/2020


Total Confirmed

Total Deaths

anyone care any more?

8:32 pm 13/02/2020


Sorry been in the bunker for the last couple of days.

9:56 pm 13/02/2020


9:03 am 15/02/2020


China Is Disintegrating: Steel Demand, Property Sales, Traffic All Approaching Zero

In our ongoing attempts to glean some objective insight into what is actually happening "on the ground" in the notoriously opaque China, whose economy has been hammered by the Coronavirus epidemic, yesterday we showed several "alternative" economic indicators such as real-time measurements of air pollution (a proxy for industrial output), daily coal consumption (a proxy for electricity usage and manufacturing) and traffic congestion levels (a proxy for commerce and mobility), before concluding that China's economy appears to have ground to a halt.

That conclusion was cemented after looking at some other real-time charts which suggest that there is a very high probability that China's GDP in Q1 will not only flatline, but crater deep in the red for one simple reason: there is no economic activity taking place whatsoever.

We start with China's infrastructure and fixed asset investment, which until recently accounted for the bulk of Chinese GDP. As Goldman writes in an overnight report, in the Feb 7-13 week, steel apparent demand is down a whopping 40%, but that's only because flat steel is down "only" 12% Y/Y as some car plants have ordered their employee to return to work (likely against their will as the epidemic still rages).

However, it is the far more important - for China's GDP - construction steel sector where apparent demand has literally hit the bottom of the chart, down an unprecedented 88% Y/Y or as Goldman puts it, "construction steel demand is approaching zero."

But wait, there's more.

Courtesy of Capital Economics, which has compiled a handy breakdown of real-time China indicators, we can see the full extent of just how pervasive the crash in China's economy has been, starting with familiar indicator, the average road congestion across 100 Chinese cities, which has collapsed into the New Year and has since failed to rebound.

Average Road Congestion across 100 Cities in China

Parallel to this, daily passenger traffic has also flatlined since the New Year and has yet to post an even modest rebound.

Daily Passenger Traffic

And the biggest shocker: a total collapse in passenger traffic (measured in person-km y/y % change), largely due to the quarantine that has been imposed on hundreds of millions of Chinese citizens.

Passenger Traffic (person-km, % y/y)
And while we already noted the plunge in coal consumption in power plants as Chinese electricity use has cratered...

Coal Consumption at Power Plants

... what is perhaps most striking, is the devastation facing the Chinese real estate sector where property sales across 30 major cities have basically frozen.

Daily Property Sales in 30 Major Cities (Thousand Units)

Finally, and most ominously perhaps, as the economy craters and internal supply chains fray, prices for everyday staples such as food are soaring as China faces not only economic collapse, but also surging prices for critical goods, such as food as shown in the wholesale food price index chart below...

Food Wholesale Price Index
... which in a nation of 1.4 billion is a catastrophic mix.

As the coronavirus pandemic spreads further without containment, and as the charts above continue to flatline, so will China's economy, which means that not only is Goldman's draconian view of what happens to Q1 GDP likely optimistic as China now faces an outright plunge in Q1 GDP...

... but any the expectation for a V-shaped recovery in Q2 and onward will vaporize faster than a vial of ultra-biohazardaous viruses in a Wuhan virology lab.

9:06 am 15/02/2020


China Sends 25,000 Medical Personnel To Hubei As 'War Time Conditions' Take Effect


  • China has sent 217 medical rescue groups totaling 25,633 personnel to Hubei province to fight the outbreak.

  • First case reported in Africa after the Egyptian Health Ministry confirms non-Egyptian patient who recently traveled to China

  • Hubei health officials report 2,420 new cases and 139 new deaths for Feb. 14

  • NHC officials report an additional 4 deaths and 2,641 cases.

  • China warns of incoming case surge

  • China says 1,716 medical workers have been infected

  • WHO demands to know more about sick doctors, insists group of 12 virus experts will reach Beijing over the weekend

  • Singapore reports largest daily jump in cases amid increased human-to-human transmission

  • Egypt confirms first case; virus now present in 29 countries/territories

  • Hong Kong reports 3 new cases

  • New quarantine measures take effect in Wuhan

  • President Xi touts new "biosecurity law"

  • Hong Kong Disney land offers space for quarantine

  • Chinese company says blood plasma of recovered patients useful in combating the virus

  • US mulling new travel restrictions

  • Japan reports 4 new cases; one patient recently returned from Hawaii.

  • CDC Director: Virus is "Coming" to the US.

  • 5 presumptive cases reported in British Columbia

  • Toll of infected passengers and crew aboard 'the Diamond Princess' climbs to 218


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